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Bitcoin’s October Slump Breaks 7-Year Bullish Streak Amid Macro Uncertainty

Bitcoin’s October Slump Breaks 7-Year Bullish Streak Amid Macro Uncertainty

Published:
2025-11-12 22:16:13
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In October 2025, Bitcoin ended its seven-year 'Uptober' tradition with a 10% decline, retreating from its all-time high near $126,300 to $110,000 by month-end. The correction was driven by profit-taking and macroeconomic uncertainty, particularly the Federal Reserve's signals of prolonged monetary tightening, which triggered a broader risk-off sentiment across crypto markets. Despite the pullback, Bitcoin remains up 16% year-to-date, showcasing its resilience amid volatile conditions. This article delves into the factors behind the downturn and what it means for Bitcoin's trajectory moving forward.

Bitcoin’s 7-Year ‘Uptober’ Streak Ends as Market Corrects

Bitcoin snapped its seven-year streak of October gains with a 10% decline in 2025, retreating from an all-time high NEAR $126,300 to $110,000 by month-end. Profit-taking and macroeconomic uncertainty fueled the pullback, though the asset remains up 16% year-to-date.

Traders unwound positions as the Federal Reserve signaled prolonged monetary tightening, triggering a broader risk-off mood across crypto markets. The dip follows Bitcoin’s 180% rally from January lows, with analysts framing the correction as a healthy consolidation before potential year-end upside.

Bitcoin’s Momentum Falters Amid Diverging Signals

Bitcoin's rally toward $111,000 shows signs of exhaustion as trading volumes decline and technical indicators flash warning signals. The On-Balance Volume (OBV) metric has dropped from 1.83 million in July to 1.69 million, revealing weakening buying pressure despite price gains—a classic divergence that historically precedes 10-20% corrections.

Market observers note parallels with past cycles where excessive Optimism preceded pullbacks. IncomeSharks warns the current sentiment mirrors previous market peaks. Critical support at $110,000 now serves as a litmus test—a breach could accelerate downward momentum, while clearing $115,000 might propel BTC toward the $120,000-$125,000 range.

On-chain data compounds concerns, showing reduced activity from large investors. Glassnode reports modest exchange inflows, suggesting whales may be preparing to take profits rather than push prices higher. The market stands at an inflection point where conviction must match valuation.

Scott Bessent Applauds Bitcoin’s Resilience Amidst U.S. Political Stalemate

Bitcoin's resilience continues to draw attention as it weathers controversies, regulatory scrutiny, and market volatility. Scott Bessent, a prominent finance figure, contrasts its tenacity with the political gridlock in Washington, sparking debates about the U.S. Treasury's crypto stance.

Bessent highlights Bitcoin's ability to overcome obstacles, noting its relevance despite dramatic price swings and skepticism. The digital asset's journey stands in stark relief against the stagnation of U.S. crypto policy discussions, underscoring its growing role in global finance.

Elon Musk Unveils X Chat: A Bitcoin-Style Encrypted Messaging App

Elon Musk has announced the development of X Chat, a new standalone messaging platform promising Bitcoin-level encryption and privacy. Revealed during his appearance on The Joe Rogan Experience, the app leverages peer-to-peer encryption akin to Bitcoin's underlying technology. Musk emphasized the absence of advertising hooks, positioning X Chat as a secure alternative to platforms like WhatsApp.

The messaging stack has been entirely rebuilt for X Chat, with a focus on eliminating data collection for ad targeting. Musk's critique of existing platforms underscores his commitment to user privacy. The app is currently in testing and expected to launch within months.

Bitcoin Price Prediction 2025-2030: Institutional Adoption Fuels Bullish Outlook

Bitcoin's price trajectory has entered uncharted territory, with the cryptocurrency currently trading at $110,022.83. Market analysts project a potential surge to $175,000 by 2025, with long-term forecasts reaching as high as $900,000 by 2030.

The rally gained momentum in July as BTC shattered its previous all-time high of $112,000. Institutional adoption has become the dominant market driver, with spot bitcoin ETFs witnessing massive inflows and corporations like MicroStrategy and Metaplanet aggressively adding BTC to their balance sheets.

Regulatory clarity and political support, particularly from figures like former President Trump, have further bolstered market confidence. Bitcoin is increasingly viewed as a hedge against inflation, with its role in global finance continuing to evolve.

Federal Reserve signals about potential rate cuts have added fuel to the bullish sentiment. The cryptocurrency's volatility remains high, but the underlying fundamentals suggest a structural shift in its market position.

Bitcoin's October Rollercoaster: Record Highs Followed by Sharp Decline

Bitcoin opened October with a historic rally, breaching $120,000 and peaking at $126,223—a new all-time high—amid bullish sentiment and $5.95 billion inflows into crypto ETFs. The surge mirrored institutional confidence, with traders anticipating a prolonged uptrend.

By October 10, the momentum reversed abruptly. Prices collapsed from $121,000 to $101,000 across exchanges, later stabilizing near $104,000. The sell-off defied supportive macro conditions, including soft inflation data and potential Fed rate cuts, marking Bitcoin's first negative October close in six years.

The volatility underscored crypto's fragility even amid institutional adoption. Early-month euphoria gave way to caution as the market absorbed the reality of its speculative underpinnings—a pattern familiar to veterans of previous cycles.

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